Igor V Polyakov, Agnieszka Beszczynska, Eddy C Carmack, Igor A Dmitrenko, Eberhard Fahrbach, Ivan E Frolov, Rüdiger Gerdes, Edmond Hansen, Jürgen Holfort, Vladimir VIvanovandMarkA Johnson, Michael Karcher, Frank Kauker, James Morison, Kjell A Orvik, Ursula Schauer, Harper LSimmonsandØystein Skagseth, Vladimir T Sokolov, Michael Steele, Leonid A Timokhov, David Walsh, and John E Walsh (2005)
One more step toward a warmer Arctic
Geophys. Res. Lett. 32(L17605).
This study was motivated by a strong warming signal seen in mooring-based
and oceanographic survey data collected in 2004 in the Eurasian Basin
of the Arctic Ocean. The source of this and earlier Arctic Ocean
changes lies in interactions between polar and sub-polar basins.
Evidence suggests such changes are abrupt, or pulse-like, taking
the form of propagating anomalies that can be traced to higher-latitudes.
For example, an anomaly found in 2004 in the eastern Eurasian Basin
took ∼1.5 years to propagate from the Norwegian Sea to the Fram Strait
region, and additional ∼4.5–5 years to reach the Laptev Sea slope.
While the causes of the observed changes will require further investigation,
our conclusions are consistent with prevailing ideas suggesting the
Arctic Ocean is in transition towards a new, warmer state.