Michael J Karcher, Rüdiger Gerdes, Frank Kauker, and Cornelia Köberle (2003)
Arctic warming: Evolution and spreading of the 1990s warm event in the Nordic seas and the Arctic Ocean
J. Geophys. Res. 108(C2).
Observations in the Arctic Ocean revealed changes in oceanic temperature,
salinity and ice cover of the 1990s as compared with earlier data.
With a numerical model, we favorably reproduce the development and
subsequent propagation of temperature anomalies in water of Atlantic
origin in the 1980s and 1990s. These propagated into the Arctic Ocean
via the Barents Sea and the Fram Strait. Two warm anomalies entered
the Arctic Ocean through these passages. While the first smaller
anomaly only warmed up the western Eurasian Basin, the second large
anomaly spread far into the eastern Eurasian Basin and across the
Lomonossov Ridge into the western Arctic basins. Intensified boundary
currents during the high NAO state in the first half of the 1990s
significantly influenced the amplitude and speed of propagation of
the temperature anomalies inside the Arctic Ocean. In contrast to
the notion of a continuous warming process during the 1990s, our
model results suggest the warming of the Atlantic Layer in the Arctic
Ocean occurred in the form of events. The event with the largest
anomalous heat input during the modeled period entered the Arctic
between 1989 and 1994. It is possible to trace back the additional
heat input into the Arctic to an increased volume inflow via the
Faroer-Scotland passage and reduced heat loss to the atmosphere in
the early 1990s. After a weaker warm inflow in the second half of
the 1990s, the most recent observations and the model results point
to a recurring warm anomaly in the inflow from 1999 onward.